Author Archives: Greg Thielmann

Creeping Toward the New START Limits

By Greg Thielmann The latest data on strategic weapons exchanged between Russia and the United States under terms of the 2010 New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) shows movement by both countries toward the three key limits of the … Continue reading

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Worldwide Threat and U.S. Nuclear Force Posture: What’s Wrong with this Picture?

By Greg Thielmann The intelligence community may have missed the impending collapse of Moscow’s empire in the late 1980s, but the Worldwide Threat Assessment presented to the Congress earlier this month by Director of National Intelligence James Clapper certainly reflects … Continue reading

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U.S. Intelligence Community Assesses Gain from Interim Agreement with Iran

By Greg Thielmann  On Jan. 29, The Director of National Intelligence, James Clapper, provided testimony to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence implicitly contradicting the arguments of those criticizing the Joint Plan of Action now being implemented by Iran and … Continue reading

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What Kind of Glasses Do You Need to See Iranian ICBMs?

By Greg Thielmann As warnings of the Iranian ICBM threat continue to emanate from the halls of Congress and the sound bytes of strategic missile defense advocates, it is worth taking a moment to observe the yawning gap between the … Continue reading

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No Evidence of INF Treaty Violation in 2013 Compliance Report

By Greg Thielmann The 2013 Arms Control Compliance Report issued by the State Department on July 12 showed little change in the assessments of U.S.-Russian arms control treaty compliance provided by last year’s report. Covering the period ending on December … Continue reading

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The Cost of Ignoring UN Inspectors: An Unnecessary War with Iraq

By Greg Thielmann On March 7, ten years ago, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the UN Special Commission on Iraq (UNMOVIC) reported to the UN Security Council on the latest results of their inspections in Iraq, monitoring enforcement of the … Continue reading

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The INF Treaty: 25 Years and Holding

By Greg Thielmann The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, which was signed in Washington 25 years ago tomorrow, December 8, is legendary among arms controllers for its improbable outcome and the depth, pace, and duration of its accomplishments. With implementation … Continue reading

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Is AP’s “Iranian Graph” Explosive News?

By Greg Thielmann As a general rule, serious security concerns and hyperbolic news reports are a bad combination. The November 27 Associated Press “Exclusive,” based on an Iranian graph reportedly now in possession of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), … Continue reading

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Iran’s 20% Enriched Uranium Stockpile

By Greg Thielmann One of the most significant and underreported developments in the August 30 report of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Iran’s nuclear program was the decrease in Iran’s stockpile of 20 percent-enriched uranium. The sparse attention … Continue reading

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Reading the Iran Military Report Carefully and Between the Lines

By Greg Thielmann Last week the Pentagon delivered to Congress an unclassified report on Iranian military power, containing just enough information to leave its readers yearning for more. Signed on June 29 by Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, the report also … Continue reading

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